Sunday, July 8, 2007

Everywhere, Everywhere And Not A Drop To Drink

SOC highly recommends that readers get invested in all types of water investments. The Powershares (Symbol:PHO) for water is a great start. It's getting a little late in the game for making the easy money (like silver was 5 years ago) but good money is still ahead for astute investors. Look to the makers of mass filtration systems and pipes for good infrastructure plays. Like our man Jim Rogers warns though, water rights holders will lose when the gov't steps in and claims the water in the name of the public good.
Investing in Water

By Nick Hodge
If you think for one second that the most valuable commodity on this planet is oil, you'd be sorely mistaken. Oil, no doubt, is precious. But we use it only as a fuel or additive for material goods.
Water, on the other hand, is life-sustaining--it has no substitute. We need water. We don't need oil, though we have backed ourselves into a pretty dicey position with it.
And given the fact that fresh water is facing the same decline as oil--if not worse--surely its preservation will come with a premium.
I'll spare you all the depressing details, but basically, when it comes to supplying enough fresh water for the world's population, we're screwed.
Less than 2% of the water on earth is fresh water. And of that 2%, some is perpetually tied up as atmospheric moisture or frozen saturated soil (permafrost) that we can never use.
Put another way, if all the world's water were in a one-gallon jug, accessible fresh water wouldn't even account for a teaspoon of it!
You see, there is no more fresh water on earth than there was a million years ago, but there are over six billion more people.
Making matters worse, world population has doubled since 1950, but water use has tripled. That's pretty daunting.
In fact, if the population rises as predicted, by 2020 the world would need the equivalent of 20 Niles and 97 Colorado Rivers to meet increased demand.
That's going to be difficult to come by. Especially when the World Commission for Water has already said that more than half of the world's rivers are now so polluted that they pose serious health risks.
And per capita access to clean water is diminishing in all developed and developing countries. All of them.
So two questions remain: How are we going to solve this growing problem? And how are we going to profit from investing in water?
I have the answer to both.
Valuable Solutions to the Water Problem and How To Invest In Water
Unlike with oil, no technological innovation can ever replace water. So, the way I see it, there are two ways to capitalize on the water-supply market.
The first--and most obvious--is investing in water through utilities. And this might not be a bad way to go.
In fact, in any random five-year period during the last 25 years, water utilities outperformed all other leading industry groups on a total return basis.
But it gets even better. You see, only about 10% of water utilities are publicly traded, with 90% still owned by state and local governments. And that 90% is currently facing vast expenditures to expand their crumbling infrastructure so they can keep up with rising demand.
The thing is, they never get the funding they need, because, to get votes, politicians opt not to raise taxes instead of raising them to provide adequate fresh water.
And that's just fine. Because water utilities are going to have to get funding from somewhere. And, more and more, those municipally-owned utilities are going public to raise the money they need.
So much so that Lehman Brothers has claimed that "the number of people served globally by investor-owned water companies is expected to rise 500% over the next 10 years."
And with demand for water constantly rising, you can bet those now publicly-traded companies will be charging a premium for their services.

No comments: