The latest
piece by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the Telegraph highlights a disturbing error this deep into the crisis.
Angela Merkel is still referring to this crisis as a debt crisis:
Angela Merkel told German industry today that we are not facing ”a euro crisis, but a debt crisis.”
He goes on to describe why this is wrong:
“She is wrong. Total levels of private and sovereign debt in the eurozone are lower than in the U.K., the U.S., and far lower than in Japan.
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…Not because of debt, except in the most superficial sense.
The reason this crisis keeps grinding ever deeper is because the euro itself is a machine for perpetual destruction. The currency is fundamentally warped and misaligned.
It spans a 30pc gap in competitiveness between North and South. Intra-EMU current account deficits have become vast, chronic, and corrosive. Monetary Union is inherently poisonous.”
Now we’re making progress! Mr. Evans-Pritchard has an enormous audience in Europe so hopefully his message will get through to some extent. You can’t resolve a disease if you don’t even understand what’s causing it. Merkel’s comments are eerily similar to what we heard from
Ben Bernanke and
Hank Paulson in 2008 when they misdiagnosed a household debt crisis as a
bankingcrisis. Europe
must understand that this is a currency crisis and that there is only one true fix — the creation of an autonomous Europe. Mr. Evans-Pritchard thinks that can best be done via a split in the Euro (which would still require a central Treasury) or dissolution. I have said there is a third option — a United States of Europe. But we can’t expect them to move in the right direction if they still think this is a banking and debt crisis. That will simply lead to bank bailouts and the American disease of bailing out banks without fixing the actual cause of the economic problem.
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